Stamps at Argos.....quick rematch!

Coaster · Jul 13, 2010

Record: 6-3....+2.40
Last: Hit Mon,over and 2nd half Mon for the triple. Some luck.

Don't like the almost B2B, but Stamps had 250yds more of Offense.
I always lean West over East, and will continue.
30-16 Cowtown win over Hogtown, Toronto lit it up against WPG for a win.
I think Tor go for O......'peders have more to show.

Stamps -5.5 -109
Over 48.5 -101

YourAllAmerican · Jul 13, 2010

I've been staring at this one for a while, trying to talk myself through it. Two weeks ago the linesmakers had the Stamps favored by 13 and they covered. An argument can be made that they shouldn't have, but an argument can also be made that they should have won by 20 or so. Now they're marked as 5.5 or 6 points better, with the only change being the game in Toronto?

Don't like the seemingly lazy play I've seen from Calgary so far this season, and that may factor into the linesmakers mark, along with an overreaction to Toronto looking decent in Week 2. Maybe the way in which they won in Hamilton snapped the Stamps out of that little rut.

everyman · Jul 13, 2010

AA...the line isn't unusual. Keep in mind the switch in home fields are worth 6 points in most linesmakers spreads.
Get 3-4 for home field. So Calgary was 13 at home, Subtract 3-4 for loss of home field, give 3 for Toronto at home. Voila,,,6-7 is reasonable within most bookkeeping standards. If this was played on neutral field then Calgary would be favored by 9-10 based on both of those lines.

YourAllAmerican · Jul 13, 2010

everyman said:
AA...the line isn't unusual. Keep in mind the switch in home fields are worth 6 points in most linesmakers spreads.
Get 3-4 for home field. So Calgary was 13 at home, Subtract 3-4 for loss of home field, give 3 for Toronto at home. Voila,,,6-7 is reasonable within most bookkeeping standards. If this was played on neutral field then Calgary would be favored by 9-10 based on both of those lines.

You're right, everyman. I suppose I just put the true Toronto home edge at only a point or so. I expected the line to come in at 7.5 or so. I may be looking a gift horse in the mouth wondering why it's a hair under a touchdown instead of a hair over.

PassTheBuck · Jul 13, 2010

This is a really tough game to call. The problem is that Toronto is going to progressively get better, but you don't know when they will hit their ceiling. Was that the best we'll see out of them in Week 2? Is Calgary really this average? GL Coast, I might tail ya for a bit considering how hot you've been lately.

everyman · Jul 13, 2010

Ya for sure you could be right. I'm haven't bet the game ( at least yet). But if I was I'd be on Toronto. I have a profile that heavily favors an underdog team after winning on the road as double digit dog then a dog at home. Couple that with Calgary spending the week in Hamilton, disruption of routine etc and I am very unsure of value on Calgary. The Stamps are, or have been, a terrible road favorite and....well as I say if I bet this I'm on toronto. But its a scary bet.